Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Diabetes, Obesity and Metabolism's content profile, based on 22 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Ahmed, S.; Bridges, N.; Goldstone, A. P.
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Context: Prader-Willi syndrome is a genetic neurodevelopmental disorder characterized by hyperphagia and early-onset obesity from hypothalamic dysfunction with endocrinopathies and learning disability. Management is challenging with strict control of the food environment needed. While newer glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists, such as semaglutide, have efficacy in non-PWS obesity, there have been limited case reports in PWS. Objective/Design/Setting: Retrospective records review of 12 adults with PWS and overweight/obesity treated with semaglutide at a UK academic hospital centre specialist clinic. Patients: mean +/- SD age 28.3 +/- 10.1 years, 83% female, BMI 46.6 +/- 8.2kg/m2, 75% type 2 diabetes mellitus. Intervention: Median follow-up 17.2 months (range 8.7-36.1) with median semaglutide dose 2.4mg once weekly (1.0-2.4). Results: Although there was no significant weight loss on semaglutide, there was stabilisation of the weight gain prior to treatment over previous 12.4 months (7.6-23.0) (post -3.1 +/- 9.9% vs. pre +5.7 +/- 5.6%: d -0.72, P=0.037). There was a significant decrease in hyperphagia on semaglutide from hyperphagia questionnaire for clinical trials (n=11, -7.3 +/- 6.1 (max 36), d -1.19, P=0.003), having been stable before treatment. HbA1c improved in those with elevated baseline levels (n=6, -4.2 +/- 4.9%, d -0.74, P=0.13). Mild gastrointestinal side effects were seen in 25% but did not lead to discontinuation. Conclusions: In adults with PWS, semaglutide produced weight maintenance, reduced hyperphagia, and improved glycaemic control, with good tolerability. Larger placebo-controlled trials are needed to confirm these findings in adults and adolescents with PWS, especially in those without T2DM, where efficacy may be greater.
Erly, B.; Raja, S.
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Background. GLP-1 receptor agonist trials are tightly controlled: standardized titration, intensive dietary counseling, frequent in-person follow-up, and rigorous exclusion criteria. The real world is none of those things. In a U.S. telehealth GLP-1 program, diet engagement, exercise, medication choice, dose timing, and out-of-pocket cost vary substantially from patient to patient. Whether trial-level efficacy translates into the outcomes a patient and clinician will actually see is an open question, and the answer matters, because telehealth is now where most GLP-1 prescribing happens. Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 13,507 adults who used a single GLP-1 agent (tirzepatide or semaglutide) through the Mochi Health telehealth obesity program and had a documented six-month weight observation. The primary outcome was achievement of >=10% total body weight loss at six months. To address selection bias in the tirzepatide-semaglutide comparison, we used 1:1 nearest-neighbor propensity-score matching on age, sex, baseline BMI, baseline weight, and comorbid diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and prior bariatric surgery (recorded at intake), with a 0.25 SD caliper on the propensity logit. We drew a directed acyclic graph (DAG) with a clinical co-author to make the identifying assumptions explicit and to mark where unobserved variables (insurance, socioeconomic status, concomitant medications such as metformin) limit causal interpretation. We report multivariable predictors via logistic regression, compute an E-value for the matched contrast, and benchmark our point estimates against landmark RCT outcomes. Results. Overall, 59.1% of patients achieved >=10% loss at six months, with mean loss of 11.5% (median 11.3%). Threshold attainment was 86.6% at >=5%, 59.1% at >=10%, 27.5% at >=15%, and 9.1% at >=20%. The unadjusted tirzepatide-semaglutide response gap was +16.0 percentage points (68.8% vs 52.8%); after 1:1 propensity-score matching (3,480 pairs, all post-match |SMD| < 0.05) the gap was +18.1 percentage points (69.6% vs 51.6%, 95% CI +15.9 to +20.3). Matching on the measured covariates did not attenuate the advantage, indicating that selection on those characteristics does not explain it; the matched risk ratio was 1.35 (E-value 2.04). The gap was unchanged when a self-reported insurance indicator was added to the matching (+18.4 pp) and remained large (+14.2 pp) within patients who reached a therapeutic dose. Multivariable predictors of response were tirzepatide (OR 2.10, 1.95-2.26), female sex (OR 1.37, 1.20-1.56), and prior bariatric surgery (OR 1.36, 1.18-1.57); response was lower with comorbid diabetes (OR 0.84, 0.77-0.92) and, modestly, with higher baseline BMI per unit (OR 0.98, 0.97-0.99). Response varied by baseline BMI, from 58.0% in overweight patients (BMI <30) and a peak of 63.5% in Obese I to 52.4% in Obese III. Conclusions. Real-world response to GLP-1 therapy in a telehealth setting is meaningfully attenuated from RCT benchmarks but remains clinically substantial: roughly three in five patients reach the 10% threshold. The tirzepatide advantage over semaglutide is large and, notably, does not shrink under propensity-score matching on measured confounders, so it is not an artifact of the observed selection variables; an unmeasured confounder would need a risk-ratio association of about 2.0 with both drug choice and response to explain it away (E-value 2.04). The findings are observational, conditional on the DAG's identifying assumptions, and unmeasured confounders (insurance, socioeconomic status, concomitant medications) remain possible.
Fukuda, K.; Yao, H.; Kamouchi, M.; Nabika, T.; Mori, M.; Mori, H.; Okada, Y.; Yamori, Y.; Ago, T.
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Background: The urinary sodium-to-potassium (Na/K) ratio is an integrated biomarker associated with cardiovascular risk. However, its association with deep white matter lesions (DWMLs), a manifestation of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD), remains unclear. We investigated the associations of the urinary Na/K ratio and albuminuria with DWMLs. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of 296 Japanese adults (mean age, 68.7 years). Brain magnetic resonance imaging was used to assess DWMLs using the Fazekas scale, and lesions were classified as absent (grade 0) or present (grades 1?3). The urinary Na/K ratio and albumin excretion were measured using 24-h urine collections. Multivariable logistic regression models examined the associations between urinary biomarkers and DWMLs. Results: DWMLs were present in 119 (40.2%) participants. A higher urinary Na/K ratio was independently associated with DWMLs (odds ratio per 1?standard deviation increase, 1.44; 95% confidence interval, 1.09?1.90; P=0.010). Participants in the highest quartile had greater odds of DWMLs than those in the lowest quartile (odds ratio, 2.48; 95% confidence interval, 1.16?5.29; P=0.019). Urinary potassium excretion was inversely associated with DWMLs, whereas urinary sodium excretion alone showed no significant association. Findings were consistent across sensitivity and subgroup analyses. Conclusions: A higher 24-h urinary Na/K ratio was independently associated with DWMLs in older adults. This association appeared to be driven primarily by lower urinary potassium excretion rather than higher sodium excretion alone. The urinary Na/K ratio may serve as a simple, noninvasive marker of CSVD.
Russell-Jones, D.; Meehan, E.; Smout, V.; Roy, S.; Frost, W.; Young, T. M.; Bartlett, D. B.
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Introduction The aim of this study was to compare patient-reported outcomes (PROs) related to hypoglycemia recovery with FLO23011, a glucose/beta-hydroxybutyrate Multi-Energy Substrate for Hypoglycemia (MESH) treatment, versus standard glucose gel in adults with type 1 diabetes, and to explore associations between by continuous glucose monitoring-derived metrics and perceived and objective treatment response. Research Design and Methods In a randomized, open-label, crossover study, 12 adults with type 1 diabetes used either FLO23011 or glucose gel to treat hypoglycemia during two 6-week periods, with continuous glucose monitoring throughout. PROs were assessed using 14-domain questionnaires and exit interviews. CGM analyses from a broader discovery analysis examined patient-relevant recovery signals: glucose-band exposure versus psychological PRO scores, and baseline glycemic variability versus time-in-range response. Results FLO23011 was rated more favorably than glucose gel in 13/14 domains, with statistically significant in 10. Differences included speed of action (8.0 vs. 7.3; P = 0.025), after-effects reduction (8.0 vs. 6.2; P = 0.014), ease-of-use (8.9 vs. 4.9; P = 0.002), and overall management ability (8.5 vs. 7.4; P = 0.019). Interviews described faster cognitive recovery, reduced disruption, and greater confidence. Reduced Level 1 hypoglycemia exposure was associated with higher reduced-worry and management-ability ratings (n=5; {rho} = 0.90; P = 0.037). Higher baseline coefficient of variation was associated with greater time-in-range improvement with FLO23011 (n=9; {rho} = 0.917; P = 0.0005). Conclusions FLO23011 showed more favorable patient-reported recovery than glucose gel. Initial CGM-PRO analyses findings suggest perceived benefit may align with reduced Level 1 hypoglycemia, while baseline variability may identify greater objective response. Results support integrating patient-reported and glycemic outcomes to evaluate hypoglycemia treatments, warranting confirmation in larger blinded studies.
Torres-Chavez, M. C.; Antonio-Villa, N. E.; Gonzalez-Arias, M.; Araiza-Garaygordobil, D.; Martinez-Amezcua, P.
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Body mass index (BMI) alone may underestimate clinically relevant obesity because it does not capture central fat distribution. We compared obesity prevalence in Mexico using BMI-only criteria, adiposity-confirmed criteria, and the clinical obesity definition proposed by the Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology Commission. We conducted a population-based, cross-sectional study of 13,160 adults aged 18 years or older who participated in the 2018-2019 Mexican National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT). Obesity prevalence was estimated through survey-weighted analyses that accounted for the complex sampling design. The weighted prevalence of obesity based on BMI was 34.5% (95% CI, 33.1-35.9), while 30.9% (95% CI, 29.6-32.2) met criteria for clinical obesity. One quarter of individuals with clinical obesity had a BMI under 30 kg/m2, a phenotype more common among older adults. Half of adults with a BMI under 30 kg/m2 showed elevated central adiposity. BMI alone underestimates clinically relevant obesity in Mexican adults. Adding waist-based measurements could improve the identification of individuals with excess fat and metabolic risk, both in clinical settings and population monitoring.
Yang, E.; Riselli, A.; Xu, F.; Sridhar, S. B.; Kvale, M.; Giacomini, K. M.; Hedderson, M. M.; Yee, S. W.; Savic, R. M.
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Aims Metformin remains the primary treatment for type 2 diabetes, yet over 40% of patients fail to maintain glycaemic control. We aimed to identify patients unlikely to respond to metformin prior to treatment initiation and to evaluate whether on-treatment management can improve glycaemic outcomes in suboptimal responders, informing early treatment decisions. Materials and Methods We analyzed 59,881 longitudinal HbA1c measurements from 7,105 patients with type 2 diabetes receiving metformin monotherapy using real-world electronic health records from Kaiser Permanente Northern California with up to six years of follow-up. We integrated demographic, clinical, genetic, and pharmacological factors to characterize metformin responder phenotypes and quantify the impact of adherence and weight control on time to glycaemic failure. Results Three distinct trajectory-based phenotypes were identified: good (63.6%), poor (8.9%), and non-responders (27.5%). Poor responders initially achieved glycaemic targets but lost control within 2.5 years, while non-responders showed minimal HbA1c reduction and failed within 1 year. Five baseline factors-HbA1c, age at diagnosis, body mass index, sex, and estimated glomerular filtration rate-classified phenotypes with good discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.84). Incorporating on-treatment HbA1c further enhanced identification of non-responders. Among suboptimal responders, weight control and improved adherence delayed glycaemic failure by approximately 7 months; however, eventual glycaemic failure remained likely. Conclusions We characterized three clinically relevant metformin responder phenotypes and showed that suboptimal responders can be identified early using baseline features. Poor and non-responders are unlikely to achieve durable glycaemic control with metformin alone and may require alternative treatment strategies.
Pala, O. S. K.; Nicola, T.; Madhvacharyula, T.; Siedman, K.; Ashok, A.; Mandot, A.; Yang, Y.; Gaggar, A.; Ambalavanan, N.; Bikman, B.; Norwitz, N.; Lal, C. V.
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Background: Heat-inactivated postbiotics derived from Lactiplantibacillus plantarum have been proposed to support weight management and metabolic health by acting on the gut-metabolic axis, including endogenous glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) signaling. resM is an orally delivered formulation combining heat-inactivated L. plantarum RSB11 (RSB11-HI) with vitamin D3, vitamin B12, chromium picolinate, white mulberry (Morus alba) leaf, and fenugreek (Trigonella foenum-graecum) seed extracts. We tested the effects of resM on body weight and a panel of metabolic outcomes in adults with overweight or obesity. Methods: In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial (NCT06911073), 80 adults with overweight or obesity were allocated 1:1 to oral resM or matched placebo for 8 weeks. The trial was conducted in a fully remote, direct-to-consumer setting. The primary outcome was absolute change in body weight at the final scheduled weekly assessment, Week 7, corresponding to completion of the 8-week intervention. Secondary outcomes included body-mass index; fasting insulin, HbA1c, and HOMA-IR; serum active GLP-1; strain-specific stool quantitative PCR for L. plantarum RSB11; food cravings measured using the Food Craving Questionnaire-Trait-reduced; depressive symptoms measured using the PHQ-9; safety laboratory measures; and adverse-event surveillance. Between-group differences were evaluated using independent-samples t-tests and baseline-adjusted ANCOVA, and within-group changes were evaluated using paired tests. Results: Body weight decreased by 2.6 kg, or 3.0%, in the resM group and increased by 0.5 kg, or 0.6%, in the placebo group. Food-craving scores fell by 15.1 points within the resM arm during the 8-week intervention (p<0.001), as did depression scores. Active GLP-1 approximately doubled among participants treated with resM and increased more than in the placebo group. Serum GLP-1 levels correlated with L. plantarum RSB11 levels in stool samples in the resM arm. Safety laboratory values remained within reference ranges, gastrointestinal symptoms were reported more frequently with placebo than with resM, and no serious adverse events were reported in either group. Conclusions: Over 8 weeks, resM produced clinically meaningful weight loss within the intervention group and compared with placebo, together with reductions in food cravings and depression scores and an approximately two-fold increase in active GLP-1. Larger and longer-duration trials are needed to confirm the persistence and generalizability of these findings.
Lipska, D.; Suvitaival, T.; Kienle, S. M.; von Scholten, B. J.; Ripa, R. S.; Zobel, E. H.; Storling, J.; Blond, M. B.; Ahluwalia, T. S.; Hansen, T. W.; Knudsen, L. B.; Ropke, M. A.; Lopes de Melo, J. M.; Sulek, K.; Legido-Quigley, C.; Rossing, P.
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Introduction: Lipids are considered both drivers and biomarkers of cardiometabolic diseases. As glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely used for diabetes and obesity management, it is crucial to understand how they affect the related comorbidities through the circulating lipidome. This study investigated the lipidomic changes induced by liraglutide treatment when compared to placebo in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) to characterise lipid remodelling and its association with clinical outcomes. Research design and methods: This post-hoc study analysed plasma samples using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) from LIRAFLAME, a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial. A hundred people with T2D received up to 1.8 mg of liraglutide or placebo once daily for 26 weeks. Plasma samples were collected at baseline, week 13 and week 26. Results: Liraglutide treatment resulted in a statistically significant increase in multiple lysophospholipid subclasses, including LPCs, LPC(O)s, LPC(P)s, LPEs, and LPE(P)s, observed at 13 weeks and sustained at 26 weeks compared to placebo. These increases were not mediated by the change in BMI. Triglyceride concentrations decreased at 13 weeks, while fatty acid levels declined at 26 weeks, consistent with enhanced lipid remodelling. The increase in LPC(O)s was associated with favourable decreases in ALAT, MCP-1, and UACR, suggesting anti-inflammatory effects with hepatic, renal, and cardiovascular benefits. Conclusions: Compared to placebo, 26 weeks of liraglutide treatment resulted in a favourable lipidomic shift from a triglyceride-rich profile towards one enriched in lysophospholipids. This lipid remodelling was associated with improvements in hepatic, renal, and inflammatory markers.
Nagalamadaka, P.; Ross, C. J.; Gilbert, J. B.; Stillman, H.; Ghauri, S. Y.; Dutton, S. M.; Kearney, W.; Li, J. H.; Leong, A.; Singh, R. P.; Krzystolik, M. G.
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Purpose: To evaluate whether initiation of GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) is associated with anti-VEGF treatment burden in type 2 diabetes patients with diabetic macular edema (DME) in the IRIS(R) Registry (Intelligent Research in Sight). Methods: Incident GLP-1RA initiators were matched 1:1 with controls via Mahalanobis distance matching (9,896 pairs; N=19,792) on sociodemographics, DME risk factors, and factors influencing GLP-1RA prescription including hypertension, obesity, chronic kidney disease. A longitudinal mixed-effects event-study model evaluated monthly anti-VEGF injection frequency over a 36-month window (12 months before through 24 months after initiation), adjusting for DME duration. Visual acuity (VA) and central subfield thickness (CST) were secondary outcomes. Results: Following GLP-1RA initiation, anti-VEGF injection trajectories did not significantly differ between the matched GLP-1RA and control cohorts (interaction coefficients -0.18 to 1.59, P>0.05). Likewise, no differences in VA were observed between cohorts (-0.05 to 0.04 logMAR, P>0.05) or CST (-14.12 to 33.58 {micro}m, P>0.05). Conclusion: In these matched cohorts, GLP-1RA initiation was not associated with the trajectory of anti-VEGF use or changes in VA or CST. Precis We used the American Academy of Ophthalmology IRIS(R) Registry (Intelligent Research in Sight) to identify patients with DME. In 19,792 matched patients, there was no significant reduction in injection frequency post GLP1-RA initiation and no significant change in VA or CST.
Erly, B.; Raja, S.
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Background. Compounded tirzepatide is prescribed at scale as a cheaper substitute for branded Mounjaro and Zepbound, yet the cost case is almost always built by setting one compounded price against one branded list price. That framing ignores the question that actually decides the answer: cheaper than which branded price the patient can reach. Branded tirzepatide is now sold at sharply different tiers, namely insurance copay (often $25-$150/month), LillyDirect Self Pay ($299-$449/month), and retail cash price ($1,000-$1,200/month). Whether compounded saves money turns entirely on which of these a given patient faces. A second open question is whether the two formulations even produce comparable effectiveness, since observed differences may reflect selection on insurance, baseline characteristics, and adherence rather than the drug. Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of tirzepatide users in the Mochi Health telehealth program, classified by formulation from their refills as branded-only (Mounjaro/Zepbound; 6,238), compounded-only (71,683), or switchers (4,996); switchers were excluded from the formulation contrast. Among single-formulation patients with a documented six-month weight observation, the analytic cohort was 7,271 (869 branded, 6,402 compounded). The primary outcome was six-month percent body weight loss; the secondary outcome was >=10% response. We used 1:1 nearest-neighbor propensity-score matching (0.25 SD caliper) on baseline covariates only - age, sex, baseline BMI, baseline weight, comorbid diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, prior bariatric surgery, and self-reported insurance coverage - deliberately excluding post-treatment variables such as adherence and time in program, which are mediators of the formulation effect. We pre-specified an equivalence margin of +/-2 percentage points on mean loss and tested equivalence with two one-sided tests (TOST). A directed acyclic graph (DAG) makes the identifying assumptions explicit; metformin use could not be reliably ascertained and is treated as an unmeasured confounder. The cost comparison reports the savings or premium of compounded versus branded under five branded price scenarios: retail list, LillyDirect Self Pay (two dose tiers), and insurance copay (typical and low end). It is a cost comparison (cost-minimization under demonstrated similar effectiveness), not a formal cost-effectiveness analysis: we computed no ICER, QALY, or discounting. Results. Branded and compounded patients had similar outcomes even before adjustment (mean loss 11.7% vs 11.5%; >=10% response 60.9% vs 58.8%). The largest baseline difference between the groups was insurance coverage (branded patients far more likely insured; standardized mean difference 0.67), which matching balanced to 0.01. After 1:1 matching (718 pairs, all |SMD| < 0.04), mean loss was 11.4% vs 11.4% (difference +0.08 pp, 95% CI -0.70 to +0.80) and >=10% response 59.3% vs 57.2% (difference +2.1 pp, 95% CI -3.1 to +7.1). The two formulations were statistically equivalent within the pre-specified +/-2 pp margin (TOST p < 0.001). Cost depends on the branded scenario: compounded saves $6,000 over six months versus retail list price, $1,494 versus LillyDirect maintenance-dose (5-15 mg) Self Pay, and $594 over a low-dose (2.5 mg) LillyDirect prescription, while it costs $300 more than branded under a typical insurance copay ($150/month) and is more expensive still at lower copays (savings turn negative below $200/month). Conclusions. Branded and compounded tirzepatide were statistically equivalent in six-month effectiveness within a pre-specified +/-2 pp margin, so the choice between them is essentially a cost decision - and that cost advantage is real but conditional on the branded price the patient can access. It is large against retail list price and shrinks to zero or reverses against LillyDirect Self Pay or a low insurance copay. Whether compounded is the lower-cost choice for an individual patient is, therefore, a question about which price tier that patient faces.
Musi, N.; Wang, C.-P.; MacCarthy, D.; Feng, Z.; Holmes, J. T.; Masayoshi, S.; Pirtskhalava, T.; Aslamy, A.; Wanagat, J.; Brooke, R.; Tchkonia, T.; Kirkland, J. L.; Horvath, S.; Espinoza, S. E.
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Importance: Preclinical and human observational studies suggest that metformin may decrease age-related pathology, including frailty. Objective: Determine whether metformin reduces frailty progression and biological age in older adults with glucose intolerance, a population at increased risk of becoming frail. Design, Setting and Participants: Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of metformin in 145 non-frail or pre-frail older adults. Participants (72 +/-5 years, 48% female, 94% White, 35% Hispanic) were randomized to metformin vs. placebo for two years. Main Outcomes and Measures: Effect on frailty was primarily determined using generalized estimating equations by change in the Fried frailty phenotype score (based on weight loss, exhaustion, physical activity, gait speed, and grip strength). Because metformin can cause significant weight loss, effects on the Fried score were assessed with and without the weight loss criterion. Frailty also was assessed by change in the frailty index (composite of 95 deficits). Biological age was estimated by DNA methylation-based epigenetic clocks in blood. Results: Metformin led to a non-linear response in the Fried score rate of change, with an upward trajectory in year 1 (0.72 +/-0.22 per year vs. placebo, p=0.0011) and stabilization in year 2 (-0.33 +/-0.17 per year vs. placebo, p=0.056). Metformin led to more weight loss than placebo (-5.7 +/-5.2 vs. -2.3 +/-5.4 kg, p=0.0002); thus, when assessing effect on Fried score without the weight loss criterion, no difference was observed, indicating that weight loss in year 1 accounted for the change in Fried score. Notably, metformin caused a steady improvement in the frailty index (-0.006 +/-0.0026 per year vs. placebo, p=0.0222) that persisted with covariates adjustment including body mass index. Metformin reduced biological age estimated by PC-Horvath2 (-0.40 +/-0.16 per year, p=0.014) and PC-Hannum (-0.33 +/-0.16 per year, p=0.047) clocks. Metformin was well tolerated. Conclusions and Relevance: Metformin halts the progression of the deficit accumulation frailty index and reduces biological age, suggesting potential benefit for extending healthspan. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02570672.
Moise, K.; Larco, P.; Charlotin, E. D.; Mexis, K.; Jean-Baptiste, E.; Larco, N. C.
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Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs), particularly diabetes and hypertension, are a growing cause of death in low-income countries. In Haiti, cardiovascular disease has overtaken HIV as the leading cause of adult death, and the isolated Grand'Anse Department had no dedicated chronic disease facility before this initiative. This retrospective single-center cohort study analyzed 1,298 encounters among 590 patients at a dedicated diabetes and hypertension clinic (the Centre Dr. Rene Charles) in Jeremie, Grand'Anse, from April 2024 to March 2026. Standardized assessments included serial blood pressure, fasting glucose, HbA1c, lipids, renal indices, and electrocardiography. Longitudinal change was modeled with linear mixed-effects models on calendar time, supplemented by paired first-to-last comparisons. The cohort was 74.1% female (mean age, 58.2 years), and nearly two thirds had primary-level education or none. Diagnoses were hypertension alone (52.9%), diabetes with hypertension (26.8%), and diabetes alone (20.3%). Establishing the clinic in this setting proved feasible, but 54% of patients attended only once, making early attrition the central finding. Among the minority who returned, exploratory within-patient analyses showed improvement in blood pressure: in mixed-effects models on calendar time, systolic pressure fell by 0.78 mmHg per month among patients with hypertension (95% CI, 0.36 to 1.21; P=0.005), the paired first-to-last decline was 9.0 mmHg (P<0.001), and control rose from 21.4% to 38.1% (P<0.001). These estimates come only from returners and are best read as hypothesis-generating. Glycemic control did not durably improve: despite a large paired fasting-glucose fall (52.5 mg/dL) and a borderline time trend (P=0.05), mean HbA1c remained 10.4%, with only 13.2% at target. Indication-driven screening of a clinically selected minority frequently detected end-organ damage, reflecting selective testing rather than cohort-wide prevalence. A dedicated NCD clinic can be established in one of the world's most resource-limited settings; the priorities now are patient retention, broader medication access, and durable health-system investment.
Chen, B.; Alexopoulos, A.-S.; Lau, W. T.; Thakoor, K. A.; Lee, C. S.; Metwally, A. A.; Dunn, J. P.
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Objective: To determine whether continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) identifies clinically relevant glycemic heterogeneity and subclinical end-organ alterations in adults without diabetes. Research Design and Methods: We analyzed 1,017 AI-READI Year 3 participants without diabetes (558 with normoglycemia and 459 with prediabetes by A1C). Fifty-two metrics from 10-day blinded CGM were reduced to nonredundant glycemic axes. Partial Spearman correlations between representative CGM metrics and clinical measures across 13 domains were adjusted for age, sex, and BMI and controlled for false discovery rate. CGM-derived subphenotypes were identified using unsupervised UMAP-HDBSCAN-based clustering. Results: Among 462 glycemic-clinical associations tested, 99 (21.4%) remained significant after false discovery rate correction. Hyperglycemia-related metrics, including mean glucose, time above range, and time in tight range, showed more associations than variability metrics. The strongest signals involved cardiometabolic, cardiovascular, and cognitive measures. Greater hyperglycemia and glucose excursions were associated with lower language performance, slower processing speed, and lower cognitive efficiency ({rho} {approx} -0.10 to -0.14; all P < 0.01). Clustering identified four reproducible glycemic subphenotypes: Healthy, Mild Hyperglycemia, High Variability, and Hyperglycemia. CGM phenotypes reclassified A1C-defined groups: 58.1% of participants with normoglycemia fell into dysglycemic phenotypes, whereas 18.8% of participants with prediabetes fell into more favorable phenotypes. The Hyperglycemia phenotype had the most adverse cardiometabolic profile and lower cognitive performance. Conclusions: In adults without diabetes, CGM revealed glycemic patterns associated with distinct subclinical alterations. CGM-based phenotyping may complement A1C for characterizing early dysglycemia and selecting individuals for longitudinal risk-stratification studies.
Li, S.; Chai, Y.-r.
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Background Whether adiposity is protective against or detrimental to skeletal muscle health in older adults remains unresolved. The conflicting associations between adiposity and sarcopenia, ranging from apparently protective to harmful effects, have been described as the "obesity paradox". We investigated whether this paradox could be explained by heterogeneity in muscle functional capacity, hypothesising that the adiposity-sarcopenia relationship is modified by relative grip strength (RGS). Methods We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS; n=15,701), with independent external validation in the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; n=10,730). RGS was defined as maximal grip strength divided by body weight. To minimise selective reporting, we performed a prespecified systematic screen of 536 interaction terms derived from 10 anthropometric exposures, 33 functional modifiers, and two sarcopenia outcomes. Core findings were evaluated through cross-metric and cross-outcome replication, sensitivity analyses addressing concerns regarding diagnostic circularity and mathematical coupling, and mediation analyses exploring potential biological pathways. Findings Among 536 tested interactions, 36 met the Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold, and 32 (89%) involved grip-related modifiers. The interaction between waist circumference and RGS for possible sarcopenia was highly significant (p=6.19 x 10(-24)). Stratified analyses showed that higher adiposity was associated with lower odds of sarcopenia, but the magnitude of this association differed substantially by RGS. For BMI, the inverse association was approximately 10-fold stronger among individuals with high RGS than among those with low RGS (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.60-0.69 vs OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.96-0.98). Similar effect modification patterns were observed across four anthropometric measures and both sarcopenia outcomes, and were independently replicated in NHANES (p<1.0 x 10(-16)). The interaction was no longer evident after restricting analyses to participants with preserved grip strength (p=0.65). Mediation analyses suggested that the association was predominantly direct, with triglycerides accounting for 10.5% of the total effect. Interpretation The association between adiposity and sarcopenia is strongly modified by relative grip strength and appears to be concentrated among individuals with preserved muscle functional capacity. These findings provide a potential explanation for heterogeneity underlying the obesity paradox and suggest that integrating grip strength assessment into adiposity evaluation may improve risk stratification for sarcopenia in older adults.
Bai, L.; Liu, Y.; Tongye, H.
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Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) are widely prescribed for type 2 diabetes and obesity, yet their neuropsychiatric safety profile remains incompletely characterized. We aimed to systematically evaluate neuro-adverse event (AE) signals for six GLP-1RAs and to validate key findings using population-based data. Methods We conducted disproportionality analysis of FAERS data for semaglutide, liraglutide, dulaglutide, tirzepatide, exenatide, and lixisenatide. RORs were calculated for 93 predefined neuro-AE MedDRA PTs across 11 neurological categories. External validation used NHANES 2013-2018 (n=17,057; 70 GLP-1RA users) with survey-weighted regression. Results We identified 41 significant neuro-AE signals. Semaglutide showed the strongest neuromuscular signal, muscle atrophy (ROR 3.94; 95%CI 3.42-4.54), corroborated by tirzepatide (ROR 2.35; 95%CI 2.04-2.71). Exenatide generated the highest psychiatric signal: nervousness (ROR 4.03; 95%CI 3.70-4.40). NHANES confirmed higher depression odds (OR 2.05; 95%CI 1.32-3.19; P=0.001) and reduced sleep hours (beta -0.35; P=0.033). Conclusions GLP-1RAs carry multiple neuropsychiatric safety signals, including muscle atrophy as a potential class effect and depression risk corroborated by population-level data. These findings support heightened clinical monitoring.
Zanatta, H. d. R.; Montiel-Lopez, L.; Lopez-Carreola, L.; Zambrano-Zambrano, A.; Zambrano-Zambrano, K.; Bernal-Alferes, B.; Diaz-Basilio, F.; Garduno-Perez, A. A.
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Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) is increasingly used for inpatient glycemic surveillance, but evidence in non-critical care wards remains limited, particularly in real-world public healthcare settings. Intermittent capillary glucose testing may fail to detect transient, nocturnal, or asymptomatic dysglycemia. We sought to evaluate whether CGM improves detection of clinically significant dysglycemia compared with seven-point capillary glucose monitoring in hospitalized patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus or hyperglycemia. This is a prospective, observational, non-randomized, real-world study performed in a tertiary referral center in Mexico. 56 hospitalized patients were included: 28 underwent flash CGM and 28 underwent seven-point capillary glucose monitoring. Patients were followed for up to 6 hospitalization days. The main analytical focus was detection of clinically significant dysglycemia, including hypoglycemia <70 mg/dL, clinically significant hypoglycemia <54 mg/dL, and severe hyperglycemia >250 mg/dL. Secondary outcomes included time in range, mean daily glucose, insulin requirements, infectious complications, length of stay, and mortality. CGM detected more hypoglycemia <70 mg/dL than capillary monitoring (71.4% vs 35.7%, p=0.005), more clinically significant hypoglycemia <54 mg/dL (median 3 [IQR 0-6.5] vs 0, p=0.030), and more severe hyperglycemia >250 mg/dL (median 8.5 [IQR 0.5-17] vs 0 [IQR 0-9.52], p=0.030). Time in range was not significantly different between groups (59.86 +/- 23.46% vs 69.28 +/- 24.99%, p=0.151). After adjustment for age, diabetes duration, and admission hyperglycemia, CGM remained associated with hypoglycemia detection (OR 4.7, 95% CI 1.2-19.0, p=0.027). We concluded that CGM improved detection of clinically significant dysglycemia during up to 6 hospitalization days. Although CGM did not improve time in range or short-term clinical outcomes, it provided superior glycemic surveillance compared with intermittent capillary glucose testing.
Butzin-Dozier, Z.; Wang, L.-C.; Ji, Y.; Kumar, M.; Anzalone, A. J.; Hurwitz, E.; Patel, R. C.; Budhihartanto, A.; Buse, J. B.; Johnson, S.; Reusch, J.; Bramante, C.; Wong, R.; on behalf of the National Clinical Cohort Collaborative,
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Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist-based therapies (GLP) have recently emerged as promising treatments across a wide range of health conditions. These medications may have protective effects against severe long-term consequences of COVID-19 by promoting weight loss, exerting antihyperglycemic and anti-inflammatory effects, and providing cardiovascular and endothelial protection. Methods: We evaluated electronic health record data from a retrospective cohort of individuals in the National Clinical Cohort Collaborative. We included individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus and comorbid COVID-19 who were prescribed either GLP (treatment) or a sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) and subsequently developed acute COVID-19 between October 1, 2021, and April 1, 2023. We compared the 12-month cumulative incidence of mortality and Long COVID (Long COVID diagnosis and probable Long COVID via computational phenotype) between groups. We applied targeted maximum likelihood estimation to compare outcome risks by exposure status, controlling for covariates of interest. Results: We analyzed data from 14,215 individuals with COVID-19 and comorbid type 2 diabetes (mean age, 60 years; mean BMI, 37). Compared to SGLT2i, a prescription for GLP medication was associated with a lower risk of mortality (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 0.71; 95% CI 0.53, 0.95), but not Long COVID diagnosis (aRR 1.01; 95% CI 0.80, 1.27) or probable Long COVID (aRR 0.94; 95% CI 0.88, 1.01). Conclusions: We found that among individuals with type 2 diabetes and comorbid COVID-19, a prescription for GLP vs. SGLT2i medications was associated with a lower risk of mortality, but not Long COVID.
Schroeder, J.; Ciora, O.-A.; Heesen, P.; Bendszus, M.; Levin, J.; Perneczky, R.; Bally, L.; Feuerriegel, S.
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Background Glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are increasingly used for type 2 diabetes. Despite established metabolic, cardiovascular, and renal benefits, it remains uncertain whether GLP-1 receptor agonists are associated with longer clinically recorded Alzheimer's disease (AD)-type dementia-free survival than sulfonylureas (SU) or SGLT2 inhibitors. Methods Using All of Us electronic health records, we emulated target trials among adults aged 55 years or older with type 2 diabetes, a 12-month washout, and no prior dementia. We compared GLP-1 receptor agonists with SU and SGLT2 inhibitors. Propensity score weighting and doubly robust estimation addressed confounding. Causal survival forests estimated individualized treatment effects on 48-month RMST free from clinically recorded AD-type dementia. Findings In the GLP-1 receptor agonist versus SU comparison (6,328 individuals; 48-month NNT approximately 202), initiation was associated with a small but statistically significant increase in AD-type dementia-free survival (ATE 0.21 months; 95% CI: 0.07-0.35). The highest-benefit stratum gained 0.45 months (95% CI: 0.28-0.62). In the SGLT2 inhibitor comparison (3,070 individuals; 48-month NNT approximately 245), the average effect was not statistically significant (ATE 0.06 months; 95% CI: -0.18 to 0.31), but treatment effects were heterogeneous. The highest-benefit stratum gained 0.83 months (95% CI: 0.49-1.17). Predicted benefit was associated with older age, insulin use, lower HbA1c, and lower BMI. Interpretation GLP-1 receptor agonists may delay clinically recorded AD-type dementia compared with SU. Comparative effectiveness versus SGLT2 inhibitors may vary, supporting further study. Given the hypothesis-generating nature of these findings, diabetes treatment selection should remain guided by glycemic, cardiovascular, renal, and patient-centered considerations. Funding German Federal Ministry of Research, Technology and Space (03LWH0181B)
Muilwijk, M.; Strooij, B.; Elders, P.; Rutters, F.; Nijpels, G.; Vaartjes, I.; Overbeek, J.; Herings, R.; Lakerveld, J.; Blom, M.; Beulens, J.
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Introduction: Ethnic minority populations are disproportionately affected by type 2 diabetes (T2D). We investigated ethnic differences in the risks of diabetes-related complications and mortality in the Netherlands, and identified clinical, sociodemographic and environmental determinants associated with these differences. Methods: We included 175,112 adults with T2D from the dynamic prospective primary care cohort DIAMANT. DIAMANT data were linked to national registries from Statistics Netherlands and GECCO, a database integrating geographic, environmental and contextual exposures. Ethnic differences in complications risks were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. Potential mediating factors were explored using machine-learning-based variable selection and association decomposition approaches. Results: At baseline, mean age was 65.4 (SD 12.3) years, 46.6% were women and median T2D duration was 11.3 [IQR 7.2; 15.8] years. Substantial heterogeneity in complication risk was observed across ethnic groups compared with Dutch-origin individuals. Retinopathy risk was consistently higher across nearly all non-Dutch groups (HRs 1.37-2.37). For macrovascular complications, elevated risks were mainly observed among Surinamese and Turkish individuals, including heart failure (HR 1.30 and 1.46, respectively). In contrast, individuals of Indonesian and Moroccan origin showed similar or lower risk for most complications. Environmental exposures (e.g. air pollution, temperature) and sociodemographic factors (e.g. main benefit, household composition) accounted for a substantial attenuation of several observed associations. Discussion: Substantial ethnic differences exist in risks of T2D complications and mortality, which showed to be heterogeneous across outcomes and populations. Our findings suggest that a considerable proportion of these disparities is attributable to differences in environmental and sociodemographic context, highlighting the importance of interventions that take into account differences in environmental and socio-demographic context.
Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.